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Every week during the NBA season, I’ll bring you my NBA SuperDraft breakdown. Once a week, I will be breaking down and analyzing that night’s slate of NBA games and returning the next day to recap the results.

With the unique twist of the projection “multiplier,” rather than the standard salary cap, adding an extra layer to the lineup building process, it’s important to measure a player’s upside in comparison to their multiplier.

Basketball is typically the easiest sport to project due to the lower amount of variance compared to other DFS sports we play and analyze. With that being the case, finding the best value, or highest projected scores after the multiplier should be priority one. However, we also want to be sure to avoid building negatively correlated lineups. For example, iftwo players will eat into each other’s productions/opportunities they will often have a negative correlation.

As always, be sure to monitor injury issues and make sure you are confirming that each player listed in the article is playing before rostering them in your SuperDraft lineups.

The Plays

LeBron James, Los Angeles Lakers (1x)

It’s a great matchup for LBJ against the Kings, who are struggling defensively and top 10 in pace so far this season. We have seen LeBron’s fantasy production take a massive upswing as of late with Anthony Davis out and with him getting starts at center. Both things should continue here, and we should continue to see massive usage and production from LeBron.

Spencer Dinwiddie, Washington Wizards (1.4x)

Bradley Beal is back in the protocols, and that means more usage heading over to Spencer Dinwiddie. Dinwiddie got off to a slow start last night but still finished with 22 points and 10 assists while sporting a 26% usage rate. Expect more of the same here with Beal remaining on the sidelines.

Lonnie Walker, San Antonio Spurs (1.8x)

Walker also continues to benefit with more usage, playing time and production with key Spurs such as Derrick White and Keldon Johnson out. Walker has scored 53 actual points over his last three games, and that was while only playing 30-plus minutes once. He played 28 last game, so while that seems like his floor, if he is able to get back to 30-plus like he was two games ago there could be a big ceiling game en route for Walker in a great spot against Houston.

I have been finding some success recently at really keying in on guys with the great multipliers, it is super easy to get in several superstars because of the no-salary structure. But with all of these players being ruled out, three are constantly guys stepping into better roles than expected, and their multiplier remains higher because of the news that is coming in after the multipliers were set.

This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.

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