Renfroe is featured in Thursdays MLB Picks 9/30 - FTN x SuperDraft article
Featured image source: AP Photo/Michael Dwyer

With the MLB regular season coming to an end, we have a nice nine-game slate Thursday instead of the usual four- or five-game DFS slates on a typical Thursday. SuperDraft has a unique way to play with the “multiplier” mode where there is no salary cap, so enjoy picking everyone you want. Instead, the safer/chalkier players have lower multipliers, while the players that appear to have more risk have higher multipliers, allowing for more upside.

There appears to be rain in Kansas City that could complicate the game between the Indians and Royals. Make sure that game plays and all your players are in their lineups.


Ian Anderson, Atlanta Braves (1.95x score multiplier)

The promising young pitcher is coming off a great start, granted it was against the Diamondbacks, but we know his confidence is high. He has made four starts against the Phillies this season, posting a respectable 3.09 ERA with 24 strikeouts in 23.1 innings pitched. The Phillies offense has struggled against right handed pitching all season with a below average .311 wOBA, 92 wRC+, and 31.3% hard contact rate. There is not an overwhelming amount of strikeout upside here but his multiplier raises his ceiling significantly.

Rich Hill, New York Mets (1.7x)

For some reason, Hill is not on the list of probable pitchers on SuperDraft but you can still find him by switching off the probables and searching his name. He is listed as the probable pitcher by MLB, so I’m going to assume he’s making the start. He has an excellent matchup against the Marlins who have the highest strikeout rate against left-handed pitching in baseball (27.6%). The Marlins are also second to last against left-handed pitching in wOBA (.284) and wRC+ (80). Hill has also faced them three times this season, with a solid 3.00 ERA with 15 strikeouts in 15 innings.


Will Smith, Los Angeles Dodgers (1.5x)

Smith is hitless in his last three games, but it is a great spot for him. He’s facing Vince Velasquez, who is always someone we can stack against. Velasquez has struggled against right-handed hitters, especially since 2019, allowing a .340 wOBA, .238 ISO, 47.4% fly ball rate and a massive 41.7% hard contact rate. Smith is also a great fastball hitter and Velasquez is throwing his four-seam 51% of the time this season.

Hunter Renfroe, Boston Red Sox (1.2x)

He is feeling it at the plate right now, riding a 10-game hitting streak with home runs in back-to-back games, bringing his total to 30 for the season. He also has one of the best matchups on the slate against Alexander Wells, who has a 7.61 ERA on the season. Wells is being destroyed by right-handed hitters, giving up a .413 wOBA, .258 ISO and 42.3% fly ball rate. Renfroe is a great hitter against left-handed pitching with a .366 wOBA, .285 ISO and 42.2% hard contact rate since 2019. I wish he had a higher multiplier, but the matchup is fantastic.

Slate overview

The Dodgers and Red Sox are my two favorite stacks, but I imagine they will be popular. I have no issue rolling out some Blue Jays and Yankees as well, as I am more interested in their hitters than playing Corey Kluber or Robbie Ray against those very talented lineups. I’m avoiding Shane Bieber since he will likely still be on a pitch count and the weather looks like it could be an issue. If the game plays, I like the Indians hitters as Angel Zerpa is making his major league debut and has recorded a 6.36 ERA, 1.56 WHIP in 46.2 innings between Double-A and Triple-A.

This article expresses the personal views of the writer and does not reflect the view(s) of SuperDraft in any way.

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